Overall 


Fits and tidies MRP outputs in one step 

Direct Estimator 

Fit models 

Fitted brms model 

Fit a binary model for MRP 

Fit a brms model with count data 

Use priors and covariates to generate a prior predictive distribution 

Poststratify 

Get MCMC draws of poststratified estimate of demog x cd cells 

Take output from brms prediction and turn to tidy form 

Do poststratification and summarize draws in one step 

Summarize and Visualize 

Get summary statistics from draws (of counts) 

Calibration 

Find oneway (intercept) correction for cell estimates 

Find twoway correction for cell estimates 

Compute absolute deviation 

A logit transformation as implemented by Ghitza 

Example Datasets 

CCES 2016 from Georgia 

ACS Data 

Election outcome (often the quantity to estimate) 

Fitted brms model 

Summary statistics of posterior samples. 