Overall |
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Fits and tidies MRP outputs in one step |
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Direct Estimator |
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Fit models |
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Fitted brms model |
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Fit a binary model for MRP |
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Fit a brms model with count data |
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Use priors and covariates to generate a prior predictive distribution |
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Poststratify |
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Get MCMC draws of post-stratified estimate of demog x cd cells |
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Take output from brms prediction and turn to tidy form |
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Do post-stratification and summarize draws in one step |
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Summarize and Visualize |
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Get summary statistics from draws (of counts) |
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Calibration |
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Find one-way (intercept) correction for cell estimates |
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Find two-way correction for cell estimates |
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Compute absolute deviation |
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A logit transformation as implemented by Ghitza |
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Example Datasets |
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CCES 2016 from Georgia |
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ACS Data |
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Election outcome (often the quantity to estimate) |
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Fitted brms model |
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Summary statistics of posterior samples. |